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Kardashev scale projections for human civilization ranging from years 1900 to 2030, based on data from the International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook
Kardashev scale projections for human civilization ranging from years 1900 to 2030, based on data from the International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook

The Kardashev scale is a general method of classifying how technologically advanced a civilization is. The International Energy Agency ( IEA, or AIE in Romance languages) is a Paris -based intergovernmental organization founded by the Organisation Technology is a broad concept that deals with a Species ' usage and knowledge of Tools and Crafts and how it affects a species' ability to control and adapt A Civilization is a society in which large numbers of people share a variety of common elements It was first proposed in 1964 by the Soviet astronomer Nikolai Kardashev. The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR was a constitutionally Socialist state that existed in Eurasia from 1922 to 1991 Historically Astronomy was more concerned with the classification and description of phenomena in the sky while Astrophysics attempted to explain these phenomena Nikolai Semenovich Kardashev (Никола́й Семёнович Кардашёв (born April 25, 1932 The scale has three designated categories called Type I, II and III. These are based on the amount of usable energy a civilization has at its disposal, and the degree of space colonization. In Physics and other Sciences energy (from the Greek grc ἐνέργεια - Energeia, "activity operation" from grc ἐνεργός In general terms, a Type I civilization has achieved mastery of the resources of its home planet, Type II of its solar system, and Type III of its galaxy. [1]

Contents

Energy Use

Energy is a static quantity and is denoted in joules. In Physics and other Sciences energy (from the Greek grc ἐνέργεια - Energeia, "activity operation" from grc ἐνεργός The joule (written in lower case ˈdʒuːl or /ˈdʒaʊl/ (symbol J) is the SI unit of Energy measuring heat, Electricity Power is a measure of energy over time, and is denoted in watts (joules per second). In Physics, power (symbol P) is the rate at which work is performed or energy is transmitted or the amount of energy required or expended for The watt (symbol W) is the SI derived unit of power, equal to one Joule of energy per Second. The three levels of the Kardashev Scale can be quantified in units of power (watts) and plotted on an increasing logarithmic scale. The watt (symbol W) is the SI derived unit of power, equal to one Joule of energy per Second. Definition and base Logarithmic scales are either defined for ratios of the underlying quantity or one has to agree to measure

Using our nuclear explosion tests as a perspective, Tsar Bomba, the largest nuclear weapon ever detonated, released an estimated 57 megaton yield; even a Type I civilization makes use of roughly 25 megatons of TNT equivalent a second. Nuclear weapons tests are experiments carried out to determine the effectiveness yield and explosive capability of Nuclear weapons Throughout the twentieth century most nations Tsar Bomba (ru Царь-бомба literally " King Bomb" is the Western name for the RDS-220 hydrogen bomb (codenamed "Иван" (Ivan by its A nuclear weapon is an explosive device that derives its destructive force from Nuclear reactions either fission or a combination of fission and fusion. A Type II civilization consumes 4x109 times more energy (4 billion hydrogen bombs per second), and a type III 1011 times more yet.

Current human civilization has a Kardashev value of about 0. 7. However, the Kardashev scale was not developed to model a specific civilization. It's primarily used by SETI researchers, science fiction authors, and futurists as a theoretical framework. Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence ( SETI) is the collective name for a number of activities to detect intelligent Extraterrestrial life. Futures Studies, Foresight, or Futurology is the science art and practice of postulating possible probable and preferable futures and the worldviews

Current status of human civilization

Human civilization is currently somewhere below Type I, as it is able to harness only a portion of the energy that is available on Earth. Human beings, humans or man (Origin 1590–1600 L homō man OL hemō the earthly one (see Humus The current state of human civilization has thus been named Type 0. Although intermediate values were not discussed in Kardashev's original proposal, Carl Sagan argued that they could easily be defined by interpolating and extrapolating the values given above. Carl Edward Sagan ( November 9 1934 &ndash December 20 1996) was an American Astronomer, astrochemist, author In the mathematical subfield of Numerical analysis, interpolation is a method of constructing new data points within the range of a Discrete set of In Mathematics, extrapolation is the process of constructing new data points outside a Discrete set of known data points In 1973, he calculated humanity's civilization type to be 0. 7, in relationship to Kardashev's model for Types 0 and I. [4]

Sagan used the formula:

K = \frac{\log_{10}{W}-6} {10}

Value K is a civilization's Kardashev rating and W is its power output in watts. Sagan used 10TW as value W, which was considerably higher than present data suggests. [5] Sagan's overestimation makes little difference in regards to human civilizations K rating, effecting only a difference of 1% in the value of K (See Table Below). International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook (2005)[5] and section 7 of Key World Energy Statistics[6] project values for planetary power production yielding these corresponding Kardashev scale estimates:

YearEnergy productionFractional Kardashev
scale equivalent
exajoules/yearterawattsQuads/year[7]mtoes/year[8]
190021. The International Energy Agency ( IEA, or AIE in Romance languages) is a Paris -based intergovernmental organization founded by the Organisation The joule (written in lower case ˈdʒuːl or /ˈdʒaʊl/ (symbol J) is the SI unit of Energy measuring heat, Electricity The watt (symbol W) is the SI derived unit of power, equal to one Joule of energy per Second. A quad is a unit of energy equal to 1015 (a short-scale Quadrillion) BTU, or 1 The tonne of oil equivalent ( toe) is a unit of energy: the amount of energy released by burning one Tonne of Crude oil, approximately 42 67205000. 58
19701906. 018045000. 67
19732608. 224062000. 69
19852909. 227069000. 69
19893201030076000. 70
19933401132081000. 70
19953601234087000. 70
200042013400100000. 71
200142013400100000. 71
200243014410104000. 71
200444014420106000. 71
201051016480121000. 72
203068022650163000. 73
Further information: World energy resources and consumption

Energy development

Methods by which a civilization could feasibly advance to Type I:

Figure of a Dyson swarm surrounding a star
Figure of a Dyson swarm surrounding a star

Type II civilizations might employ:

Type III civilizations might use the same techniques employed by a Type II civilization, but applied to all of the stars of one or more galaxies individually. [15]

Dr. Michio Kaku has discussed a type IV civilization, which could harness "extragalactic" energy sources such as dark energy, in his book Parallel Worlds. Dr Michio Kaku (b January 24, 1947) is an American theoretical physicist specializing in String field theory, and a Futurist In Physical cosmology, dark energy is a hypothetical exotic form of Energy that permeates all of space and tends to increase the rate of expansion of the universe Parallel Worlds A Journey Through Creation Higher Dimensions and the Future of the Cosmos was copyrighted by Michio Kaku in 2005 [16]

Civilization implications

There are many historical examples of civilizations undergoing large-scale transitions, such as the Industrial Revolution. The Industrial Revolution was a period in the late 18th and early 19th centuries when major changes in agriculture manufacturing and transportation had a profound effect on the The transition between Kardashev scale levels could potentially represent similarly dramatic periods of social upheaval, since they entail surpassing the hard limits of the resources available in a civilization's existing territory. A common speculation[17] suggests that the transition from Type 0 to Type I might carry a strong risk of self-destruction since there would no longer be room for further expansion on the civilization's home planet, similar to a Malthusian catastrophe. A Malthusian catastrophe (or Malthusian check, crisis, dilemma, disaster, trap, controls, or limit) is a return Excessive use of energy without adequate disposal of heat, for example, could make the planet of a civilization approaching Type I unsuitable to the biology of the dominant life-forms and their food sources. Human beings, humans or man (Origin 1590–1600 L homō man OL hemō the earthly one (see Humus If Earth is an example, then sea temperatures in excess of 35°C would menace marine life and make the cooling of mammals to temperatures suitable for their metabolism difficult if not impossible. Metabolism is the set of Chemical reactions that occur in living Organisms in order to maintain Life.

Extensions to the original scale

The sub-Type I state that human civilization currently occupies was not originally included in the Kardashev scale but is now referred to as "Type 0" or by its K value using Sagan's logarithmic formula (described above).

Zoltan Galantai has defined a further extrapolation of the scale, a Type IV level which controls the energy output of the visible universe; this is within a few orders of magnitude of 1045 W. The Universe is defined as everything that Physically Exists: the entirety of Space and Time, all forms of Matter, Energy Such a civilization approaches or surpasses the limits of speculation based on current scientific understanding, and may not be possible. Frank J. Tipler's Omega point would presumably occupy this level, as would the Biocosm hypothesis. Frank Jennings Tipler III (born February 1, 1947 in Andalusia Alabama Prof The Omega Point is a term used by Tulane University professor of mathematics and physics Frank J In Physics and Cosmology, the anthropic principle states that humans should take into account the constraints that human existence imposes on the kind of theoretical Galantai has argued that such a civilization could not be detected, as its activities would be indistinguishable from the workings of nature (there being nothing to compare them to). [18]

However, Milan M. Ćirković has argued that "Type IV" should instead be used to refer to a civilization that has harnessed the power of its supercluster, or "the largest gravitationally bound structure it originated in". Superclusters are large groupings of smaller galaxy groups and clusters, and are among the largest structures of the Cosmos. [19] For the Local Supercluster, this would be approximately 1042 W. The Virgo Supercluster or Local Supercluster is the galactic Supercluster that contains the Local Group, the latter containing in its turn

In contrast to simply increasing the maximum power level covered by the scale, Carl Sagan suggested adding another dimension: the information available to the civilization. Carl Edward Sagan ( November 9 1934 &ndash December 20 1996) was an American Astronomer, astrochemist, author He assigned the letter A to represent 106 unique bits of information (less than any recorded human culture) and each successive letter to represent an order of magnitude increase, so that a level Z civilization would have 1031 bits. In this classification, 1973 Earth is a 0. 7H civilization, with access to 1013 bits of information. Sagan believed that no civilization has yet reached level Z, conjecturing that so much unique information would exceed that of all the intelligent species in a galactic supercluster and observing that the universe is not old enough to effectively exchange information over larger distances. Superclusters are large groupings of smaller galaxy groups and clusters, and are among the largest structures of the Cosmos. The information and energy axes are independent, so that even a level Z civilization would not need to be Kardeshev Type III. [20]

Classifying fictional civilizations

These categorizations are not firm, and are neither complete nor absolute. Most science fiction space opera writers do not specifically write their works with Kardashev classification in mind. Isaac Asimov's short story The Last Question covers many of the same themes as Kardashev's papers, in its descriptions of the future use of energy and entropy by human civilization; however it does not mention the scale, as it was written in 1956. Isaac Asimov (c January 2 1920 &ndash April 6 1992 ˈaɪzək ˈæzɪmʌv originally Исаак Озимов but now transcribed into Russian as, was a Russian "The Last Question" is a Science fiction Short story by Isaac Asimov.

Criticism

It has been argued that, because we cannot understand advanced civilizations, we cannot predict their behavior; thus, Kardashev's visualization may not reflect what will actually occur for an advanced civilization. This central argument is found within the book Evolving the Alien: The Science of Extraterrestrial Life. Evolving the Alien The Science of Extraterrestrial Life (2002 published in the US and UK second edition as What Does a Martian Look Like? The Science of Extraterrestrial [26]

References

  1. ^ Zubrin, Robert, 1999, Entering Space - Creating a Spacefaring Civilization
  2. ^ a b c Detectability of Extraterrestrial Technological Activities by Guillermo A. Lemarchand
  3. ^ a b c Kardashev, Nikolai (1964). "Transmission of Information by Extraterrestrial Civilizations". Soviet Astronomy 8.  
  4. ^ Sagan, Carl [1973] (October 2000). Carl Edward Sagan ( November 9 1934 &ndash December 20 1996) was an American Astronomer, astrochemist, author in Jerome Agel: Cosmic Connection: An Extraterrestrial Perspective, Freeman J. Dyson, David Morrison, Cambridge Press. Freeman John Dyson FRS (born December 15, 1923) is an English-born American theoretical Physicist and Mathematician, famous for his ISBN 05-21-7830-38. Retrieved on 2008-01-01. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common New Year See also New Year The Ancient Romans began their consular year on January 1st since 153 BC  
  5. ^ a b [ (2005) "8", World Energy Outlook (PDF), Paris, France: International Energy Agency, 82. ISBN 92-64-1094-98. Retrieved on 2008-01-01. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common New Year See also New Year The Ancient Romans began their consular year on January 1st since 153 BC  ]
  6. ^ Key World Energy Statistics (PDF). International Energy Agency (2004). Retrieved on 2006-08-10. Year 2006 ( MMVI) was a Common year starting on Sunday of the Gregorian calendar. Events 612 BC - Killing of Sinsharishkun, King of Assyrian Empire
  7. ^ Quads: 1 quadrillion BTU
  8. ^ mtoes: million tonnes (metric tons) of oil equivalents
  9. ^ Landua, Rolf, [[Newton Magazine]] & CERN. This article is about the tonne or metric ton For other tons see Ton. Petroleum ( L petroleum, from Greek πετρέλαιον, lit The European Organization for Nuclear Research (Organisation Européenne pour la Recherche Nucléaire known as CERN The European Organization for Nuclear Research (Organisation Européenne pour la Recherche Nucléaire known as CERN Interview. Anti-matter is the ultimate energy source.... Is this true?. Italy. 2005-09-01. Year 2005 ( MMV) was a Common year starting on Saturday (link displays full calendar of the Gregorian calendar. Events 462 - Possible start of first Byzantine indiction cycle.  Retrieved on 2008-01-29. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common Events 904 - Sergius III comes out of retirement to take over the papacy from the deposed Antipope Christopher.
  10. ^ Weidenspointner, Georg (2008-01-08). 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common Events 871 - Battle of Ashdown - Ethelred of Wessex defeats a Danish invasion army An asymmetric distribution of positrons in the Galactic disk revealed by big gamma-rays (Journal). Nature. DOI:10.1038/nature06490. A digital object identifier ( DOI) is a permanent identifier given to an Electronic document. Retrieved on 2008-02-19. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common Events 197 - Roman Emperor Septimius Severus defeats usurper Clodius Albinus in the Battle of Lugdunum
  11. ^ Borowski, Steve K. (1987-07-29). NASA John H Glenn Research Center at Lewis Field (see History for previous names is a NASA center located within the cities of Brook Park "Comparison of Fusion/Anti-matter Propulsion Systems for Interplanetary Travel". Technical Memorandum 107030: p. 1-3, San Diego, California, USA: National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( NASA, ˈnæsə is an agency of the United States government, responsible for the nation's public space program Retrieved on 2008-01-28. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common Events 1077 - Walk to Canossa: The Excommunication of Henry IV Holy Roman Emperor is lifted  
  12. ^ Dyson, Freeman J. (1966), Marshak, R. Freeman John Dyson FRS (born December 15, 1923) is an English-born American theoretical Physicist and Mathematician, famous for his E. , ed. , “The Search for Extraterrestrial Technology”, Perspectives in Modern Physics (New York: John Wiley & Sons) 
  13. ^ Newman, Phil (2001-10-22). Year 2001 ( MMI) was a Common year starting on Monday according to the Gregorian calendar. Events 202 BC - Hannibal Barca, leader of the Carthaginians, is defeated by the Roman legions under Scipio Africanus New Energy Source "Wrings" Power from Black Hole Spin (web). NASA. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( NASA, ˈnæsə is an agency of the United States government, responsible for the nation's public space program Retrieved on 2008-02-19. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common Events 197 - Roman Emperor Septimius Severus defeats usurper Clodius Albinus in the Battle of Lugdunum
  14. ^ Schutz, Bernard F. (1985). A First Course in General Relativity. New York: Cambridge University Press, p. 304, 305. ISBN 0521277035.  
  15. ^ Kardashev, Nikolai. Nikolai Semenovich Kardashev (Никола́й Семёнович Кардашёв (born April 25, 1932 "On the Inevitability and the Possible Structures of Supercivilizations", The search for extraterrestrial life: Recent developments; Proceedings of the Symposium, Boston, MA, June 18-21, 1984 (A86-38126 17-88). Events 618 - Coronation of the Chinese governor Li Yuan as Emperor Gaozu of Tang, the new Emperor of China, initiating three centuries Dordrecht, D. Reidel Publishing Co. , 1985, p. 497-504.
  16. ^ Kaku, Michio (2005). Dr Michio Kaku (b January 24, 1947) is an American theoretical physicist specializing in String field theory, and a Futurist Parallel Worlds: The Science of Alternative Universes and Our Future in the Cosmos. Parallel Worlds A Journey Through Creation Higher Dimensions and the Future of the Cosmos was copyrighted by Michio Kaku in 2005 New York: Doubleday, p. 317. ISBN 0713997281.  
  17. ^ Dyson, Freeman (1960-06-03). Freeman John Dyson FRS (born December 15, 1923) is an English-born American theoretical Physicist and Mathematician, famous for his "Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation". Science 131 (3414): p. 1667-1668. New York: W. A. Benjamin, Inc. doi:10.1126/science. A digital object identifier ( DOI) is a permanent identifier given to an Electronic document. 131. 3414. 1667.  
  18. ^ Galantai, Zoltan (September 7, 2003). Events 1251 BC - A Solar eclipse on this date might mark the birth of legendary Heracles at Thebes Greece. Year 2003 ( MMIII) was a Common year starting on Wednesday of the Gregorian calendar. Long Futures and Type IV Civilizations (PDF). Retrieved on 2006-05-26. Year 2006 ( MMVI) was a Common year starting on Sunday of the Gregorian calendar. Events 451 - The Battle of Avarayr between Armenian rebels and the Sassanid Empire takes place
  19. ^ Milan M. Ćirković (February 2004). "Forecast for the Next Eon : Applied Cosmology and the Long-Term Fate of Intelligent Beings". Foundations of Physics 34. Springer Netherlands.  
  20. ^ Sagan, Carl [1973] (October 2000). Carl Edward Sagan ( November 9 1934 &ndash December 20 1996) was an American Astronomer, astrochemist, author in Jerome Agel: Cosmic Connection: An Extraterrestrial Perspective, Freeman J. Dyson, David Morrison, Cambridge Press. Freeman John Dyson FRS (born December 15, 1923) is an English-born American theoretical Physicist and Mathematician, famous for his ISBN 05-21-7830-38. Retrieved on 2008-01-01. 2008 ( MMVIII) is the current year in accordance with the Gregorian calendar, a Leap year that started on Tuesday of the Common New Year See also New Year The Ancient Romans began their consular year on January 1st since 153 BC  
  21. ^ a b YouTube - Michio Kaku On Civilizations Types I,II & III
  22. ^ Eelong - Hallawiki
  23. ^ STAR WARS: Death Stars
  24. ^ Stapledon, Olaf Last and First Men [ 1931 ] and Star Maker [ 1937 ] New York:1968—Dover Chapters IX through XI Pages 346 to 396
  25. ^ Parkin, Lance (2005). Last and First Men A Story of the Near and Far Future is a Science fiction novel written in 1930 by the British author Olaf Stapledon. The Gallifrey Chronicles. BBC Books, 56. ISBN 0-563-48624-4.  
  26. ^ Jack Cohen and Ian Stewart: Evolving the Alien: The Science of Extraterrestrial Life, Ebury Press, 2002, ISBN 0-09-187927-2

Further reading

See also

External links

Astroengineering is the construction of Megastructures in space by technologically advanced beings Arthur C Clarke formulated the following three " laws " of Prediction: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is The Drake equation (also sometimes called the "Green Bank equation" the "Green Bank Formula" or often erroneously labeled the " Sagan equation" This page lists examples of the power in Watts produced by various different sources of energy This list compares various energies in Joules (J organized by Order of magnitude.
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